0daysto.live

Augie Ray [email protected]

A friend posted photos at a huge, crowded, loud concert two nights ago. Tonight, she posted a photo snuggling her face against her granddaughter.

I wouldn't have thought twice about it four years ago. Now, I think, “Does she know there is more transmission today than in over half the pandemic to date?”

I wish more people were cognizant of stacking their social activities. One way to protect others is to avoid close contact for up to a week after doing high-risk activities.

0daystolive 0daystolive
@augieray Do you have a source for COVID19 transmission being higher? Any graph I can find shows hospitalizations are way down, confirmed cases are way down, deaths are way down. What do you think we all did the whole vaccination thing for? Do you not think that maybe you need to update your worldview from the one you had during peak pandemic? It is absolutely not the same level of risk now and it seems to me you haven't adjusted.
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Augie Ray [email protected]

@0daystolive

Reporting of deaths and hospitalization has been stopped in much of the nation. They are not valid signals.

The transmission data I cited comes from COVID in wastewater, which remains the best way to track COVID now. You can track this via biobot or the CDC website.

Your worldview needs to be updated to stop paying attention to bad data & to be more aware of the hundreds of studies that show COVID isn't a mild illness but causes risks of Long COVID and chronic damage to health.

Augie Ray [email protected]

@0daystolive I'd prefer you do your work rather than sniping at people doing the work for you, but...

COVID in wastewater:
https://biobot.io/data/

Positive rate tracking:
https://www.walgreens.com/healthcare-solutions/covid-19-index

CDC data on wastewater/ positive rate:
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#wastewater-surveillance
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_weeklyhospitaladmissions_testpositivity_00

A good site that interprets this data:
http://pmc19.com/data/

300+ studies on how COVID can damage hearts, brains, reproductive, immune systems, etc. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12VbMkvqUF9eSggJsdsFEjKs5x0ABxQJi5tvfzJIDd3U/edit?usp=sharing

I trust you'll update your worldview.

0daystolive 0daystolive
@augieray I'm sorry but when someone *DIES* the cause of death is recorded. This is not a newfangled COVID thing. Death statistics are probably one of the more accurate things to look at although there is a lag sometimes before they get compiled. Even if hospitals opted to not attribute deaths to covid you'd be able to see it in excess mortality rates if it was significant.

Thanks for the wastewater link, thats an interesting data source. Not sure why you think asking for a source is "sniping" you're the one who made a claim and I was interested in the basis and wastewater data isn't really in the top results of searches...

0daystolive 0daystolive
@augieray That Walgreens positive rate tracking doesn't show what you think it does and is more misleading than looking at confirmed case data.
Currently it shows a 26% positive rate on ~12,000 tests but the trend on the graph makes it seem like cases are way up - they're not. The high 2022 datapoint is from 450,000 tests with a 36% positive rate - a significantly worse situation. The 2023 peak datapoint of 44% positivity is only from 3000 tests. With a lot less testing happening the results are significantly skewed by selection bias.

We also can't make any comment on outcomes from the positivity results data but I'd wager more recent positive results are less likely to result in hospitalization or death (due to vaccines or natural immunity).

Another reason that COVID is less fatal now is that hospitals have more resources available (less hospitalizations) than they did during peak pandemic and thus can actually treat patients. Source: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8025594/

0daystolive 0daystolive
@augieray I'm not going to dive into the long covid research but I will say that a lot of things have long term effects, the solution isn't that everyone locks themselves away in a protective bubble. That has a very high opportunity cost.

Augie Ray [email protected]

@0daystolive Sorry, where did I say everyone should lock themselves away in a protective bubble? I block people who create strawman arguments about COVID when my guidance to people is always to make smarter decisions and tradeoffs.

Also, to be clear (since you obviously only care about your POV and didn't spend any time with the link to studies I provided) the damage chronic COVID causes to brains, hearts, and other organs can be independent of Long COVID.

And yes, you're sniping.